Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending May 7, 2022

Our research team releases regular monthly housing trends reports. These reports break down inventory metrics like the number of active listings and the pace of the market. In addition, we continue to give readers more timely weekly updates, an effort that began in response to the rapid changes in the economy and housing as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Generally, you can look forward to a Weekly Housing Trends View and the latest weekly housing data on Thursdays with a weekly video update from our economists on Fridays. Here’s what the housing market looked like over the last week.

What this Week’s Data Means:

Double-digit home price gains continue as we move into May on the heels of a new record high median asking price in April, but the bigger story is an improvement in the number of homes available for sale. As anticipated in our April Housing Trends report, the number of homes actively for sale on Realtor.com notched the first non-negative year over year change since June 2019. While this week’s growth rounds to zero, we expect to see further gains in the weeks ahead.

The change is driven by a combination of more sellers eager to take advantage of market conditions and make good on previously delayed plans as well as fewer buyers able to contend with rising housing costs. Home shoppers who remain in the market are getting creative, using either larger down payments or selective relocation to keep monthly costs manageable amid higher home prices and mortgage rates.

Key Findings:

  • New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were up 4% above one year ago.  Now that we’re in May, we’re in the heart of home selling season. Over the last few years, we have tended to see the number of new listings peak on an absolute basis this month while active inventory (newly listed homes plus those that have been on the market for a while) tends to peak in the fall. Seller confidence amid record high asking prices is contributing to the growth in the number of sellers this year over last.
  • Active inventory grew for the first time since 2019. While the size of the improvement rounded to 0%, this week’s data markets the first time that inventory figures weren’t lower than the previous year since June 2019. Our April Housing Trends Report showed that the active listings count remained 60 percent below its level right at the onset of the pandemic. This means that for every 5 homes available for sale in the earlier period, today there are just 2. In other words, homes for sale are still limited. However, the switch to growth after nearly 3 years of decline is a step in the right direction, even though inventory continues to lag pre-pandemic normal.

Data Summary:

 

All Changes year-over-year Year-to-Date 2022 Week ending April 23, 2022 Week ending April 30, 2022 Week ending May 7, 2022
Median Listing Prices +13.4%  +14.4% +14.7% +15.8%
New Listings  -2%  +4% +3% +4%
Active Listings  -19%  -6% -3% +0%
Time on Market 10 days faster  6 days faster 7 days faster 6 days faster

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